
Gordon Chang: China Is the âFuelâ Behind Putinâs War in Ukraine
Gordon Chang – Sunday
What happens when the worldâs two most dangerous humans meet?
We are about to find out. Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping got together for their 40th in-person chat Monday. The conversation, in Moscow, was scheduled to run until Wednesday.
Xiâs timing confirms the closeness to his Russian counterpart. The summit, for one thing, is being held much earlier than expected. The Wall Street Journal on the 21st of last month reported the pair might get together âin April or in early May.â
As it turned out, the announcement of the meeting occurred just hours before the International Criminal Court in The Hague issued a warrant for the arrest of the Russian president for the deportation of Ukrainian children. Beijing and Moscow had to know the warrant would be announced soon, so the trip could be Chinaâs way of signaling support for Russiaâs alleged war crimes, including genocide, in Ukraine.
During the three-day meeting, Xi and the war criminal suspectâthereâs little doubt that Putin is both guilty as charged and the perpetrator of other horrific actsâwill undoubtedly issue expressions of support for the other. They are also expected, at least according to Russian media, to sign significant agreements.
There will certainly be discussions about Beijingâs 12-point peace plan, titled âChinaâs Position on the Political Settlement of the Ukraine Crisis,â released February 24. Xi Jinping will undoubtedly press acceptance of his proposal in order to leverage the success of the Iran-Saudi deal Chinese diplomats brokered this month.
Chinaâs Ukraine proposal was âessentially ignoredâas the Associated Press put it. And for good reason. National Security Council spokesman John Kirby correctly termed Beijingâs call for an immediate cease-fire a âratification of Russian conquest.â A halt to the fighting, he said, would allow Russiaâs forces to recover âso that they can restart attacks on Ukraine at a time of their choosing.â
China Back Russia in the Ukraine War: The Facts
Observers say that at this time, Ukraine has the advantage on the battlefield. Beijing knows that. Allowing Russia to regroup is not in the interests of anyone but the Russians.
And the Chinese. In reality, Ukraine is a superpower proxy war, and China is backing Russia.
Russia and China know the stakes. Vladimir Putin is obviously all-in on Ukraine, and the Chinese are in full support. Itâs apparent, for instance, that China greenlighted the invasion of Ukraine. Russia and China issued their 5,300-word joint statement after Putin met Xi in Beijing on February 4 of last year, just 20 days before Russiaâs attack. Thatâs when they declared the âno-limitsâ partnership.
âNo limitsâ is not much of an exaggeration. China, with elevated commodity purchases, effectively finances Russiaâs war. Furthermore, Beijing has been offering financial services to Russia as America and partners cut Russian banks and institutions off. Beijing is putting diplomats in service of Moscow. Chinese central government and Communist Party media have been amplifying Russian war disinformation.
Moreover, China has been providing lethal assistance. In the opening moments of the war, there is data to suggest China fed location data, obtained from the Chinese-made drones that Ukraine had been operating, to Russia so that it could take out the drone operators.
More recently, there is also evidence to suggest China has been selling drones to Russiaâs Wagner Group.
Indeed, Beijing has been supplying urgently needed items. In November, Defense Express, a Ukrainian site, reported that almost every day an An-124 cargo plane ferried military products from Chinaâs Zhengzhou to Russia. The Russian planes turned off their transponders when they departed. The Washington Free Beacon in January reportedthat the flights carried, among other things, ammunition.
The Biden administration for the longest time refused to acknowledge Chinaâs lethal assistance, saying only that Beijing was contemplating providing it. Now, Washington has had to make an admission. In the middle of this month, according to Kyodo News, the U.S. confirmed the presence of Chinese ammunition littering battlefields in Ukraine.
Now that itâs clear that Chinaâs regime has crossed President Joe Bidenâs âred line,â the Chinese leadership is probably worried about what happens next. That could also explain the timing of Xiâs excursion to Moscow.
In any event, Xi and Putin are clearly coordinating policies, dividing the international system into camps and in the process forming the core of a new axis. The war in Ukraine, therefore, looks like the first conflict of a divided world, what some are calling âCold War 2.â
As Henry Kissinger declared last May to the Financial Times, âWe are now living in a totally new era.â
In broad outline, this time resembles the late 1930s, when the Westâs great democracies were in disarray.
China and Russia, on the other hand, are driving events. The Chinese foreign ministry characterizedthe Xi visit to Moscow as âa trip for friendship.â âIt will,â the ministry said, âfurther deepen mutual trust and mutual understanding between China and Russia and cement the political foundation and public support for the long-standing friendship between the two peoples.â
Xi Jinping and Russian President Putin.
Beijing believes the new era is going to last a long time. What the American president does at this moment, therefore, will affect generations.
Author Expertise and Biography
A 19FortyFive Contributing Editor, Gordon G. Chang is the author of The Coming Collapse of China and The Great U.S.-China Tech War. Follow him on Twitter @GordonGChang. Â